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Political outlook

28/06/2022

Executive and Congress are holding their own amid the decrease in protests and the deadlock in the debate on early elections

During February, there was a decrease in the number of protests at the national level, as well as a focus on demonstrations in the south of the country, particularly in Puno. Despite the tense calm, new outbreaks of conflict are not ruled out in the coming months, due to latent citizen discontent and the lack of initiatives to solve the political crisis.

At this juncture, Congress does not seem to be in tune with citizens’ demands and failed to reach consensus on the call for early elections in the last legislative session.If the debate is resumed, Congress will have to approve the measure in the next two sessions (March to July and August to December 2023).

While the Executive remains stable and Congress seems to have no incentive to approve the call for early election, the likelihood of further protests and demonstrations remains. This is due to high levels of disapproval of both branches of government and the possibility of a new crisis.

To access the complete report contact us at: contactaSAE@apoyoconsultoria.com

María Alejandra Gutierrez

Senior analyst

OUR PERSPECTIVE

3Q2024 starts with clearer signs of recovery in private domestic demand

During the 2Q2024, economic growth was driven by the rebound of primary sectors, such as traditional agriculture and fishing, and by higher public spending, supported by an estimated increase of 11% in public wages and 16% in public investment, adjusting for inflation.

Congress 2024-2025: New leadership and recomposition of commissions will modify some legislative dynamics

During the month of August, attention was focused on the dynamics within Congress. In view of the election of the Board of Directors and the recomposition of the ordinary commissions, numerous movements were recorded in the benches.

President Boluarte highlights infrastructure and mining in July 28 speech, but implementation of some initiatives raises concerns

Although the implicit alliance between the Executive and the Legislative remains in force, in recent months we have seen a progressive weakening of the Executive.

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