After a challenging start of the year, characterized by social conflicts and heavy rains, the Peruvian economy has begun to show signs of recovery, albeit at a slow pace. In fact, it is estimated that the GDP grew by 1% during April and May, following a contraction of 0.4% in the first quarter of 2023. This economic recovery has revealed significant variations among sectors, markets and population segments. While investment-related sectors continue to experience double digit declines in the second quarter, markets linked to consumption have rebounded and returned to moderate growth (around 2%), after stagnation in the first quarter. Additionally, the primary sectors have exhibited robust growth (approximately 7%), driven by an increase in mining exports.
Four positive developments have emerged in this context.
Senior Analyst
The economy maintained a solid growth pace in Q1 2025, around 3.8%, slightly above expectations. Primary sectors, such as agro-exports and fishing, continued to rebound, although they were still affected by weather conditions in Q1 2024.
This month, the political agenda has once again focused on citizen insecurity. The death of a singer from a well-known musical group, allegedly at the hands of extortionists, sparked renewed criticism of the Minister of the Interior, who was censured by Congress, which in turn triggered new protests.
Despite growing criticism, President Dina Boluarte remains reluctant to remove him from office, as Santivañez plays a key role in her efforts to obstruct investigations against her and her inner circle, including her brother Nicanor Boluarte.
