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JUL_panorama económico
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Economic Outlook

01/07/2024

At the end of the second quarter, there are no clear signs of a break in the economic cycle


During the second quarter, GDP would have grown at a higher rate than during the first quarter, mainly due to the recovery of the primary sectors.

The regularization of climatic conditions has boosted the growth of fishing and traditional agriculture. On the one hand, as of June 26, the first anchovy fishing season registered a progress of 98%, which would have allowed the sector to grow around 180% in Q2, compared to the same quarter of 2023. On the other hand, The production of the main traditional agricultural crops has been growing at a high rate due to the greater availability of water.

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Pablo del Águila

Head of Research

OUR PERSPECTIVE

Peru's economic growth was dynamic in Q1 2025, although international environment risks have intensified.

The economy maintained a solid growth pace in Q1 2025, around 3.8%, slightly above expectations. Primary sectors, such as agro-exports and fishing, continued to rebound, although they were still affected by weather conditions in Q1 2024.

Political pressure on the government intensifies with the censure of Santivañez and new episodes of protest.

This month, the political agenda has once again focused on citizen insecurity. The death of a singer from a well-known musical group, allegedly at the hands of extortionists, sparked renewed criticism of the Minister of the Interior, who was censured by Congress, which in turn triggered new protests.

Resumption of Congressional Functions: Oversight, Electoral Reforms, and Key Projects on the Short-Term Agenda

Despite growing criticism, President Dina Boluarte remains reluctant to remove him from office, as Santivañez plays a key role in her efforts to obstruct investigations against her and her inner circle, including her brother Nicanor Boluarte.

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