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Economic Outlook

31/05/2024

Households still do not perceive an improvement in the conditions for consuming, but this should begin to change in the next three months

So far this year, economic activity has shown a differentiated recovery among economic sectors.

Those that were most affected by the protests and rains last summer, such as fishing, tourism, mining and public investment, have registered a clear rebound in their activity levels. These sectors, with the exception of mining, showed double-digit growth rates. However, other sectors more closely linked to household spending, such as home centers and department stores, have not yet shown significant improvements, as they registered drops in the first quarter of 13.5% and 4%, respectively.

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Jose Carlos Saavedra

Partner and Principal Economist

OUR PERSPECTIVE

Peru's economic growth was dynamic in Q1 2025, although international environment risks have intensified.

The economy maintained a solid growth pace in Q1 2025, around 3.8%, slightly above expectations. Primary sectors, such as agro-exports and fishing, continued to rebound, although they were still affected by weather conditions in Q1 2024.

Political pressure on the government intensifies with the censure of Santivañez and new episodes of protest.

This month, the political agenda has once again focused on citizen insecurity. The death of a singer from a well-known musical group, allegedly at the hands of extortionists, sparked renewed criticism of the Minister of the Interior, who was censured by Congress, which in turn triggered new protests.

Resumption of Congressional Functions: Oversight, Electoral Reforms, and Key Projects on the Short-Term Agenda

Despite growing criticism, President Dina Boluarte remains reluctant to remove him from office, as Santivañez plays a key role in her efforts to obstruct investigations against her and her inner circle, including her brother Nicanor Boluarte.

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