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Economic Outlook

03/07/2023

Improvement trends consolidate and new risks emerge on the horizon

Last month, we identified four pieces of good news for the business environment: (i) lower prices of certain imported goods, (ii) lower political risk, (iii) improved business confidence, and (iv) some stabilization in local financial variables. 

During June, these positive trends have continued to consolidate. Thus, this month, business confidence has continued to increase (see graph) and the exchange rate reached S/ 3.63 soles per dollar, its lowest level in 14 months.

To acccess the complete report contact us at: contactaSAE@apoyoconsultoria.com

Andrea Sotelo

Analyst

OUR PERSPECTIVE

3Q2024 starts with clearer signs of recovery in private domestic demand

During the 2Q2024, economic growth was driven by the rebound of primary sectors, such as traditional agriculture and fishing, and by higher public spending, supported by an estimated increase of 11% in public wages and 16% in public investment, adjusting for inflation.

Congress 2024-2025: New leadership and recomposition of commissions will modify some legislative dynamics

During the month of August, attention was focused on the dynamics within Congress. In view of the election of the Board of Directors and the recomposition of the ordinary commissions, numerous movements were recorded in the benches.

President Boluarte highlights infrastructure and mining in July 28 speech, but implementation of some initiatives raises concerns

Although the implicit alliance between the Executive and the Legislative remains in force, in recent months we have seen a progressive weakening of the Executive.

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