Last month, new appointments were made in constitutionally and regulatory autonomous entities and in the Executive, favoring the balance of power. On the one hand, the election of the Constitutional Court judges and the appointment of the presidents of regulatory bodies show signs of stability, on the other hand, the appointments to the Cabinet send out ambiguous signals.
While the Minister of Transport and Communications and the Minister of Agriculture are being questioned, the appointment of the Minister of Energy and Mines constitutes an improvement of technical capacities and a reduction of the influence of cerronismo in the sector. Among her first actions, Minister Herrera replaced senior officials, strengthening the institutionality of the sector.
Despite the changes made to the Cabinet by the president, Congress decided to vote for a censure motion against the Minister of Labor, Betssy Chávez, and with 71 votes in favor, 28 against and 12 abstentions, the vote demonstrated the fractioning of the ruling party. In addition, it is expected that the new minister will maintain the continuity in the sector, in line with the words of Prime Minister Torres: “The Government will continue with the direction previously outlined.”
New points of view could alter the political outlook. These include the decision of the Attorney General, Pablo Sánchez, to investigate President Castillo for the case of Puente Tarata III. The information revealed in this investigation could put pressure on Congress to push for presidential impeachment or to bring forward the election. In addition, the approval of a constitutional infringement against Dina Boluarte could open new scenarios in the present phase of the process of transition.
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Head of Political Analysis
During the 2Q2024, economic growth was driven by the rebound of primary sectors, such as traditional agriculture and fishing, and by higher public spending, supported by an estimated increase of 11% in public wages and 16% in public investment, adjusting for inflation.
During the month of August, attention was focused on the dynamics within Congress. In view of the election of the Board of Directors and the recomposition of the ordinary commissions, numerous movements were recorded in the benches.
Although the implicit alliance between the Executive and the Legislative remains in force, in recent months we have seen a progressive weakening of the Executive.
